Analysis of Carbon Black Market This Week

Carbon Black Market Price Analysis

This week, domestic carbon black prices showed a slight downward trend in some regions. As of Thursday, prices were 6,400 yuan/ton in Shandong; 6,200 yuan/ton in Shanxi; 6,600 yuan/ton in Hebei; 6,600 yuan/ton in Guangzhou; and 6,400 yuan/ton in Zhejiang. Several major carbon black plants resumed operations after maintenance during the week, increasing on-site supply.

While raw material prices have rebounded, reflecting favorable cost sentiment, a large number of previously placed orders at low prices have led to significant downstream resistance to high carbon black offers. Due to the drag from demand, pressure on actual carbon black trading persists, with trading activity remaining low in some markets and a stagnant atmosphere in on-site actual trading.

Carbon Black Market Index Analysis

According to Tuduoduo data, the carbon black price index was 6,426 as of September 18, down 53.25 points from the previous cycle.

Carbon Black Market Forecast

Looking ahead, with the decline in raw material coal tar prices and negative market factors, carbon black prices are expected to fall. However, due to stocking demand for the National Day holiday at the end of the month, the coal tar market is expected to rebound again. Driven by the cost market, the carbon black market may enter a period of upward pressure again.

Carbon Black Industry N330 Profit Analysis

For example, in Shandong, new orders in the raw material coal tar market remained stable, while the carbon black market saw only moderate trading at high levels, with actual order volume declining. This led to a widening of the carbon black market's profit losses during the week. As of now, the carbon black industry's theoretical weekly profit is -260 yuan/ton, down 100% from last week.

This Week's Market Operating Rate Statistics

Carbon Black Market Operating Rate Analysis

Carbon black companies' operating rates have been consolidating within a narrow range, with some companies in Shanxi and Shandong experiencing a slight increase in low-level operating rates. Companies in Shandong are still undergoing maintenance, resulting in limited fluctuations in market operating rates during the week.

Downstream Market Operating Rate Analysis

China's semi-steel tire operating rate is 73%. China's full-steel tire operating rate is 66%. During the cycle, the production and operation of tire companies were stable, and the shipments of most companies remained basically stable. The foreign trade sales of some companies slowed down slightly, and the inventory volume increased slightly, but the overall impact was not significant, so as to moderately alleviate the shortage of some specifications.

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